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Banxico decides interest rate today; markets expect no change

Updated 2 min read

The Mexican peso extended its gains on Thursday, November 5, trading near 18.58 pesos per dollar. Early in the session it was quoted at about 18.585, a gain of roughly 0.13 percent, as investors awaited the Bank of Mexico's monetary policy decision. Analysts widely expect the bank to hold its benchmark interest rate at 6.50 percent, pausing its rate cuts because Mexico's economic activity has performed better than expected. The move follows Democratic victories in the United States midterm elections on November 3, which have raised uncertainty over investment projects and President Donald Trump's economic agenda. Analyst Gabriela Siller Pagaza noted that the U.S. dollar recorded its largest decline since August 19. The official reference rate published by the central bank was 18.6285 pesos per dollar, while bank counter rates vary widely, so buyers should compare institutions before exchanging currency.

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Banxico decides interest rate today; markets expect no change

The Mexican peso extended its gains on Thursday, November 5, trading near 18.58 pesos per dollar. Early in the session it was quoted at about 18.585, a gain of roughly 0.13 percent, as investors awaited the Bank of Mexico's monetary policy decision. Analysts widely expect the bank to hold its benchmark interest rate at 6.50 percent, pausing its rate cuts because Mexico's economic activity has performed better than expected. The move follows Democratic victories in the United States midterm elections on November 3, which have raised uncertainty over investment projects and President Donald Trump's economic agenda. Analyst Gabriela Siller Pagaza noted that the U.S. dollar recorded its largest decline since August 19. The official reference rate published by the central bank was 18.6285 pesos per dollar, while bank counter rates vary widely, so buyers should compare institutions before exchanging currency.

Dollar keeps gaining on peso; peso fell 4% in October

The Mexican peso closed October down about 4 percent against the US dollar, extending its losing streak to eight consecutive weeks. The currency finished the month at 18.80 pesos per dollar, according to Banco de Mexico, down 72 centavos since September. Analysts note the streak is the longest since 2016, and only the Brazilian real fell more among major currencies in October. Investors are unwinding carry trades as the interest rate gap between Mexico and the United States narrows. Markets also expect the US Federal Reserve could raise its rate by a quarter point after US consumer inflation accelerated to 3.74 percent a year. Speculative bets on a stronger peso on the Chicago futures market rose for a third straight week. The next key test comes Thursday, November 5, when Banco de Mexico announces its interest rate decision.

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